All essays
A complete chronological record of everything published on Transaction Intelligence.
-
№ 1 · 12 May
3 min read
Patience Pays: Warren Buffett’s Last Lesson to an Impatient Market
Warren Buffett is handing Berkshire’s reins to Greg Abel, but his most powerful idea endures: markets quietly move money from the restless to the steadfast. In a world where the average share is held for mere months, patience remains the rarest, and richest, edge.
-
№ 2 · 09 Apr
Behavioural Science2 min read
The $54 Lesson: What Vaccines Teach Us About Good Decisions
A recent Economist article highlighted an astonishing 54-to-1 return on immunisation programmes. But what does that tell us about how we make, and evaluate, good decisions?
-
№ 3 · 27 Mar
Behavioural Science8 min read
Decision Journals: The Missing Link Between Frameworks and Results
Most frameworks fail not because they’re flawed, but because we never revisit the decisions they shape. Decision journals close that loop—bringing accountability, calibration, and a culture of truth-seeking to product and strategy teams.
-
№ 4 · 11 Mar
Regulatory3 min read
AI Governance in Fraud Detection
As AI-powered fraud detection grows more capable, the regulatory landscape is shifting. Financial institutions must meet new explainability and governance standards that will transform how they select, deploy, and monitor fraud prevention systems.
-
№ 5 · 07 Mar
Behavioural Science4 min read
No Regrets? How AI Is Changing Business Decision-Making
AI is reshaping business decision-making, promising to minimize regret in fraud detection, pricing, and customer retention. But as companies optimize away uncertainty, who owns the regret when AI gets it wrong? This article explores how AI shifts responsibility and what it means for consumer trust.
-
№ 6 · 05 Mar
Behavioural Science4 min read
The Cost of Second-Guessing: How Businesses Manage Their Own Regret
Regret shapes how businesses and consumers make decisions. But while individuals fear buyer’s remorse, companies worry about fraud, pricing mistakes, and missed opportunities. Striking the right balance is vital; overcorrecting in one direction means lost revenue, while too much risk damages trust.
-
№ 7 · 03 Mar
Behavioural Science4 min read
Regret Minimisation: How Payment Platforms Engineer Your Decisions
The digital marketplace isn't just selling products—it's engineering emotions. Behind every checkout page and "limited time offer" lies a sophisticated understanding of our deepest purchasing anxiety: the fear of making the wrong choice.
-
№ 8 · 26 Feb
Regulatory2 min read
The Fragility of Transatlantic Data Transfers
As digital commerce grows increasingly global, the legal frameworks governing data transfers across borders have never been more important. Yet these frameworks remain surprisingly fragile, especially between the EU and US.
-
№ 9 · 25 Feb
Behavioural Science2 min read
From Confusion to Exclusion
Clear communication in banking isn't just about customer service—it's about enabling confident participation in the modern financial world.
-
№ 10 · 21 Feb
Banking Technology2 min read
When Systems Fail: The Hidden Impact on Financial Inclusion
The Treasury Committee's investigation into Barclays' January outage reveals a critical but often overlooked relationship: the connection between operational resilience and financial inclusion.
-
№ 11 · 17 Feb
UX & Design3 min read
The Consistency Principle in Digital Products: Why Small Interactions Matter More Than Big Features
In nature, the most dramatic transformations often come from consistent forces rather than sudden events. Rivers carve canyons not through violent floods, but through persistent flow. The same principle applies to digital products.
-
№ 12 · 14 Feb
UX & Design3 min read
The Engagement Problem: Designing Automation That Keeps Humans in the Loop
In The Automation Paradox, I explored how financial automation risks disengaging users. This follow-up examines how automation can enhance, rather than replace, human judgement—ensuring users remain active participants in decision-making rather than passive observers.